Posted by Brad @ 2:37 pm on May 28th 2009

Sestak v. Specter

I’m trying to think of a boxing match rhyming name for the bout, but all I can come up with is tax collector and slide projector.

Anyway, Smokin’ Joe Sestak, though he has not yet officially announced his candidacy, is pretty much in, saying as much to his major donors and friends trying to get a war chest going. He may still drop out if he finds the support isn’t there, but it’s pretty clear he’s gunning for Arlen at this point, and will likely be the only major challenger.

Right now, Qunnipac finds him behind, but Specter far from sealing the deal. Also, Sestak beats Toomey, but Toomey is gaining a lot on Specter for the general election.

Dem Primary
Specter 50
Sestak 21
Und 27

GOP Primary
Toomey 38
Gerlach 10
Luksik 3
Und 47

General Election
Specter 46 (-7 vs. last poll, May 4)
Toomey 37 (+4)
Und 14 (+4)

Sestak 37
Toomey 35
Und 23

I know it would be bad for the country and all, but man, does God love me enough to have Specter lose his Democratic seat to Pat Toomey? That would be about the funniest thing ever in terms of the back-biting that would then ensue in Democratic circles.

7 Comments »

  1. I want Und to previal.

    Comment by Cameron — 5/28/2009 @ 3:04 pm

  2. “The Keystone Kerfuffle”

    Comment by Rojas — 5/28/2009 @ 5:35 pm

  3. “Spec-Tak”

    Comment by Jack — 5/28/2009 @ 7:12 pm

  4. I was trying to come up with a clever play on “vector”, but no luck.

    Comment by Brad — 5/28/2009 @ 9:20 pm

  5. Well, aimed specifically at Spector, we could call it “The Entitlement Check”

    Comment by Jack — 5/28/2009 @ 9:28 pm

  6. What’s kind of interesting about those numbers is part of the polling that, presumably, finally got Specter to switch was that some insane amount of Democrats (like in the high 70s) said they approved of the job he was doing as Senator. I always had a hunch that that was in large measure because he was pissing off Republicans.

    Polling right at 50 with an unknown opponent at 21, undecideds at nearly 30%, will at least make Specter sweat. That in itself is good news for Democrats. Guess who just became an infinitely malleable vote and an ardent supporter of the Obama administration for the next two sessions?

    Comment by Brad — 5/28/2009 @ 9:36 pm

  7. Hmmm, I’m not sure how this will play out.
    On the one hand, Spector has to prove himself a reasonable Democrat, as much to retain the power brokers as the registered voters.
    On the other hand, Spector was never gonna convince the progressive wing of the party, and keep in mind that part of his apparent appeal is his independance. At least in his mind.
    I think this points to a delicate balancing act in which Spector attempts to assuage the fears of the centrist Dems, but continues just enough off message activity to retain his self assigned maverick image and the Blue Dog, independant Dems.

    Comment by Jack — 5/28/2009 @ 9:58 pm

RSS feed for comments on this post.

Leave a comment

You must be logged in to post a comment.