Posted by Brad @ 9:44 pm on October 25th 2008

Sign O the Times


Myers Research (D) & Grove Insight (D). 10/23-24. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)

Likely voters

McCain (R) 44
Obama (D) 40

Early voters (34% of the sample)

McCain (R) 46
Obama (D) 47

Sample is 40 percent Republican, 33 Democratic, and 26 percent independent. ASU has its own survey coming Monday, and they’ve hinted at similar results.


  1. Am I correct in presuming that the reason the sample is skewed toward the Republican side aisle is because that’s the historic voting percentages in the state?

    Regardless, who here can say bloodbath?

    Comment by Cameron — 10/26/2008 @ 2:58 pm

  2. And it’s not an outlier.


    Comment by Brad — 10/27/2008 @ 6:48 pm

  3. Cameron #1: it would either be that or registration percentages in that state. In any case, they should re-weight according to a measure like that, so the raw percentages in the sample shouldn’t matter that much.

    Comment by Adam — 10/27/2008 @ 7:59 pm

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